Carrollton, TX Housing Market Update – March 2026
Reporting Period: Feb 1–Feb 28, 2026 • Data via NTREIS
Carrollton is a well-positioned inner suburb — straddling Dallas, Denton, and Collin counties, with access to major employment corridors and a housing stock that appeals to a wide range of buyers. February's data shows a market that's holding together well at the fundamental level despite a modest median price decline. The supply picture in particular stands out: 2.6 months of inventory is genuinely tight for a city of Carrollton's size and diversity.
Key Highlights | Carrollton Housing Market Update
- Median Sale Price: $400,000 (↓ 6.4% YoY)
- Closed Sales: 95 (↓ 3.1% YoY)
- Active Listings: 260 (↑ 12.6% YoY)
- Months of Inventory: 2.6 (↑ 0.1 months YoY — essentially flat)
- Median Days on Market: 56 (↑ 12 days YoY)
- Median Price per Sq Ft: $210.98 (↑ 0.7% YoY)
- Close-to-Original List Price: 95.1%
PRICES
Carrollton's February median landed at $400,000 — down 6.4% from February 2025 — while price per square foot at $210.98 actually ticked up 0.7% year over year. That divergence is the interpretive key. When a market's median falls while its per-square-foot value holds flat or edges up, the explanation is almost always compositional — more lower-priced homes in the closing mix this month relative to last year, pulling the median down without any actual deterioration in per-unit value. The $300–$399k range led February closings at 37.6%, with $400–$499k at 23.7% — a distribution weighted toward the lower half of Carrollton's price spectrum. The per-square-foot figure of $210.98 is the more reliable pricing signal: stable, holding ground, and consistent with a market that hasn't conceded meaningful value.
SALES ACTIVITY
Ninety-five closed sales — down a modest 3.1% from 98 a year ago — is a relatively contained decline for a city of Carrollton's transaction volume. The pace shift is more notable: homes averaged 56 days on market, up 12 days from February 2025. That's a meaningful increase — buyers are deliberating longer before committing, which is consistent with the broader DFW behavioral pattern. Days to close held flat at 29 days, unchanged year over year, confirming that the extended timeline is concentrated on the front end before contract rather than in the closing process itself. Total days from listing to close reached 85, up 12 days from last February.
INVENTORY
Active listings reached 260 — up 12.6% from 231 a year ago — while months of inventory held essentially flat at 2.6, up just 0.1 months year over year. That near-static inventory reading, despite a 12.6% increase in absolute listings, signals that demand has absorbed the new supply nearly in full. Carrollton at 2.6 months of supply is among the tighter markets in this month's report. The community's three-county positioning — with access to employment centers in Addison, Las Colinas, and along the I-35E and Dallas North Tollway corridors — sustains a diverse, consistent demand base that prevents inventory from building at the pace seen in more peripheral communities.
MARKET BALANCE
At 2.6 months of supply and a close-to-list ratio of 95.1%, Carrollton sits in seller-leaning balanced territory. The 95.1% close-to-list figure — down from 98.5% in early 2024 but still healthy — means buyers are negotiating roughly 5% off original asking price on average. In Carrollton's price range, that translates to approximately $18,000–$22,000 in negotiating room from a $400,000 list price. Sellers who price with that in mind are transacting; those expecting minimal negotiation may find the current environment slightly more resistant than anticipated.
What Sellers Need to Know
- 2.6 months of inventory is genuinely tight — Carrollton's supply remains constrained relative to most comparable DFW markets, which provides ongoing price support.
- Price per square foot held flat at $210.98 — the median decline is a composition story, not a valuation decline. Price confidently but realistically.
- Homes are averaging 56 days on market — up 12 days from last year. Buyers are more deliberate; price correctly from day one rather than testing high and reducing later.
- The close-to-list ratio of 95.1% is your negotiating benchmark — expect offers near that range and build your pricing strategy accordingly.
What Buyers Need to Know
- 260 active listings is up from a year ago, giving you more selection — but 2.6 months of supply still keeps Carrollton tighter than most DFW suburbs. Don't confuse more selection with unlimited time.
- The 95.1% close-to-list ratio is your benchmark — well-researched offers modestly below list price are being accepted. Aggressive lowball strategies are not consistent with this market.
- The $300–$399k range led February closings at 37.6% — expect the most buyer competition in that tier. If your target is above $400k, you have relatively more room to deliberate.
- The median year built of 1983 means thorough inspections are non-negotiable — Carrollton's established housing stock can hold great value, but HVAC, roofing, plumbing, and foundation due diligence is essential at this age range.
2026 Carrollton Housing Market Forecast
Carrollton enters spring 2026 with tight supply, stable per-square-foot pricing, and a demand base anchored by one of the most advantageous employment-access positions in the DFW metro. The 12-day increase in days on market is the primary friction point to monitor — if that figure contracts as seasonal demand builds in March and April, it would confirm the February slowdown is weather-and-seasonality driven rather than structural.
The city's diverse housing stock — spanning starter homes, mid-range suburban properties, and newer townhomes — gives Carrollton a broad buyer demographic that is less sensitive to any single market condition than more price-concentrated communities. That diversification tends to provide resilience when conditions shift.
If mortgage rates ease in the second half of 2026, Carrollton's sub-$450k price tiers are well-positioned to see demand reactivate. At 2.6 months of supply, that demand would translate quickly into tighter conditions and potential pricing support.
Thinking about buying or selling in Carrollton? The Dunnican Team covers the North Texas market and can help you read the data and move strategically. Let's talk.
Source: NTREIS MLS (Feb 1–Feb 28, 2026) with February 2025 comparison metrics from the Texas REALTORS® Data Relevance Project, in partnership with the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University.
